Badosa vs Azarenka: prediction for the WTA Indian Wells match

Paula Badosa vs Victoria Azarenka. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA Indian Wells (October 17, 2021)

Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa

04:00 AEDT
BNP Paribas Open
Indian Wells, USA
Victoria Azarenka

Victoria Azarenka

Badosa vs Azarenka: prediction for the WTA Indian Wells match

On October 17, Paula Badosa and Victoria Azarenka will fight each other for a title of Indian Wells tournament. Will Belarusian player win her third trophy in that competition? The answer is in our prediction.

Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa is participating at Indian Wells tournament only for the second time in her career. In 2019 Spanish player failed to advance through qualification, in 2021 she will play in the final. As we see, World No. 27 player significantly improved in those two years. 

Only in the first match against Dayana Yastremska Spaniard lost one set (6:4, 2:6, 6:2). All next four matches Spanish player won with a 2:0 score on sets. She played against some dangerous opponents: Gauff, Krejcikova, Kerber and Jabeur. All of them are having a great season and each one of those players had a chance for a victory. But Badosa played with confidence and her consistency helped her to beat the opponents.

In the semi-final match against Jabeur Spanish player was considered an underdog. Moreover, Badosa mentioned her shoulder injury before the match. But she still recorded a confident victory (6:3, 6:3). We should note that her opponent had 10 break-points during the match, but converted only one.

Victoria Azarenka

Victoria Azarenka has a rich experience of playing at Indian Wells. Belarusian player won two titles of this competition. It happened in 2012 and in 2016. 

Azarenka got off to a slow start of the tournament. She was losing during the match against Linette, but her opponent withdrew herself from the match due to a leg injury. Next three victories over Kvitova, Sasnovich and Pegula were recorded in straight sets.

Azarenka had a difficult match in the semi-final against Jelena Ostapenko. In our prediction for that match we stated that experience will help Belarusian player in that match. And indeed, Azarenka recorded a victory eventually (3:6, 6:3, 7:5). In the second set Belarusian player managed to improve her performance and her opponent started to make many mistakes. Third set was a contested one, but Azarenka was more fortunate.

Statistics tips

Sets performance: 1=2

This bet won in 4 out of 8 most recent matches of Badosa

First set: total over 9.5

In three out of five most recent matches of Azarenka more than nine games were played in the first set

Azarenka's 1st serve hit percentage: under 63.5

In each of five Azarenka's matches at Indian Wells this bet was successful


Paula Badosa reached the final in a confident manner, despite a difficult draw. But experience is a huge factor in final matches. Victoria Azarenka has a huge advantage in that front. Belarusian player and her team will prepare for that match, so Azarenka will be able to put up a good performance. In our prediction we are expecting a victory for Azarenka, in our opinion, she will win her third Indian Wells title.

Our prediction - Azarenka to win

Prediction: Azarenka to win

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Opponents will play for a title of prestigious tournament. Both opponents are in a great form, so no one will leave the court without a fight.

Our second bet is on total over 21 games

Prediction: total over 21

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Tips statistics for tennis

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